EconometricsLesson 1 of 4 in the course Regression Analysis in Finance

Correlation Analysis: Scatterplots, Pearson's r, and Significance

5 flashcards · 5 quiz questions · 5 match pairs · 5 fill-in sentences · English

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Summary

Correlation analysis helps us describe how two numeric variables relate to one another. This lesson introduces paired data and scatter plots, which provide a visual first step in examining a possible relationship.

Bivariate data consists of observations on two variables, with each value for one variable paired with a corresponding value for the other. For example, a finance analyst might pair each month's S&P 500 value with the Nike stock price recorded for that month.

All flashcards

What does Pearson's sample correlation coefficient rr measure?
The direction and strength of the linear association between paired numerical variables in a sample.
What is the difference between an explanatory and a response variable?
The explanatory variable is used to help explain or predict the response variable; these roles do not establish causation.
Why must paired values stay together when calculating ∑xy\sum xy?
Each product must use values from the same observation; mixing pairs changes the data.
What does statistical significance of a correlation test indicate?
Sufficient evidence that the population correlation differs from zero, not proof of causation or practical importance.
Why inspect a scatter plot alongside a correlation coefficient?
The plot can reveal curvature or influential outliers that may make a linear summary misleading.

Quiz questions

  1. Which range must contain the sample correlation coefficient rr?Answer: From −1-1 to 11, inclusive.
  2. What does r=−1r=-1 mean for a sample of paired observations?Answer: Every point lies exactly on a line with negative slope.
  3. If a sample has r=0r=0, which conclusion is justified?Answer: The sample has no linear association, though a nonlinear relationship may exist.
  4. What does a statistically significant correlation establish about practical importance?Answer: Significance alone does not establish that the association is practically important.
  5. Why can prediction from a fitted line be unreliable beyond the observed xx-values?Answer: It requires extrapolation beyond the range covered by the data.

Based on Principles of Finance by Julie Dahlquist, Rainford Knight (OpenStax), licensed CC BY 4.0. Adapted into a summary, flashcards and quizzes.

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